Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.207131 3.758357 4.346126 5.016405 5.756484 6.545642 7.447691
2024-10-06 2.572642 3.360820 4.262634 5.357350 6.636769 8.071743 9.789541
2024-10-13 2.082114 3.012574 4.147834 5.602501 7.384387 9.464683 12.044671
2024-10-20 1.667341 2.667534 3.965079 5.711627 7.940855 10.633220 14.070857
2024-10-27 1.292646 2.296965 3.683379 5.640686 8.236649 11.469772 15.705345
2024-11-03 1.074084 2.098696 3.592406 5.787573 8.791489 12.625098 17.748762
2024-11-10 0.887643 1.909378 3.480975 5.880112 9.259003 13.666928 19.663324
2024-11-17 0.691434 1.661495 3.245721 5.764959 9.421234 14.299319 21.054407
2024-11-24 0.530226 1.435751 3.009773 5.617103 9.513290 14.823611 22.300667
2024-12-01 0.420532 1.278779 2.860421 5.578524 9.745492 15.530063 23.790571
2024-12-08 0.327302 1.129340 2.700911 5.503944 9.910756 16.137862 25.150907
2024-12-15 0.289274 1.092671 2.735238 5.738805 10.539643 17.401914 27.420319
2024-12-22 0.235301 1.004545 2.667237 5.805358 10.925742 18.348960 29.300869
2024-12-29 0.212648 0.991604 2.741911 6.117064 11.700380 19.870428 32.007245
2025-01-05 0.185922 0.959111 2.773002 6.353141 12.363135 21.244610 34.533863
2025-01-12 0.152981 0.895772 2.731719 6.456111 12.815496 22.320003 36.658770
2025-01-19 0.114151 0.794296 2.593387 6.370902 12.957492 22.937633 38.143721
2025-01-26 0.095460 0.755487 2.587665 6.527013 13.493733 24.147142 40.485906
2025-02-02 0.077189 0.708006 2.554286 6.625801 13.934248 25.217479 42.640045
2025-02-09 0.054056 0.620857 2.410842 6.499575 13.989360 25.702308 43.953275
2025-02-16 0.035676 0.536559 2.257410 6.338170 13.972820 26.071051 45.097176
2025-02-23 0.024707 0.480699 2.167494 6.295941 14.155780 26.745877 46.694070
2025-03-02 0.015934 0.424208 2.063706 6.214599 14.263380 27.301298 48.118786